The Moderate

Hillary Clinton is gearing up for war, warns Peggy Noonan in the Wall Street Journal. Hillary is positioning herself as a moderate, and is in a good position to run away with the Democratic nomination, she says. The Republicans, meanwhile, will have a broad and interesting field of contenders to choose from.

Can Hillary win? I doubt it. If there are two or more terrorist attacks on American soil or if we still have large numbers in Iraq (or if Iraq is an unfriendly dictatorship), then the Dems have an edge. However, we've seen two Establishment Democrats lose in trench-warfare elections, and I think the Democratic field will fill up with Midwestern outsiders who will try to win the "winability" contest, which is probably more important than anything else.